Ukrainian President: At present, the focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. In the early morning of December 10th, local time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said on social media that the current priority should be to provide missiles and weaken Russian military potential, rather than lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. Zelensky said that we should focus on equipping the existing troops and training personnel to use these equipment, and we should not make up for the lack of equipment and training by lowering the age of conscription. Earlier, a number of western media reported on November 27th that the Biden administration of the United States was urging the Ukrainian government to lower the minimum age of conscription from 25 to 18, in order to cope with the shortage of Ukrainian troops in the current situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. (CCTV News)According to the World Bank, the Philippines' GDP growth is affected by the typhoon, but the prospects are strong.The Japanese government plans to set the proportion of renewable energy in 2040 at 40% to 50%. It is reported that regarding the amendment of the medium-and long-term energy policy guideline "Energy Basic Plan", the Japanese government plans to set the proportion of renewable energy in the total power generation in 2040 at 40% to 50%, and coordination has been started on this. The Japanese government will finalize the details with the ruling party and announce them next week. The current Energy Basic Plan, which was finalized at the Cabinet meeting of Japan in 2021, proposed that the proportion of renewable energy in 2030 would be 36%-38%, nuclear power 20%-22%, thermal power 41% and hydrogen and ammonia 1%.
A mountain fire broke out in Yajiang, Sichuan Province, and more than 140 people have been transferred and resettled. There are no reports of casualties. At 15: 20 on December 9, 2024, a mountain fire broke out in Chengxiang Village, Hekou Town, Yajiang County, Ganzi Prefecture, Sichuan Province. After the fire broke out, Ganzi Prefecture immediately launched a three-level emergency response and quickly organized more than 300 rescue forces to carry out fighting. At present, more than 140 people have been transferred and resettled, and no casualties have been reported. (CCTV News)Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)Recruitment platform Indeded: Job vacancies in the UK are falling faster than those in other developed countries. The recruitment platform Indeded said on Tuesday that job vacancies in the UK have fallen faster than those in other developed countries in the past year, which is another sign that the British economy lost momentum in the second half of this year. Indeed data shows that as of November 29, the number of British job advertisements posted on its platform decreased by 23% compared with the same period of last year, which was even greater than the 14% decline from August to October according to official data. France is only a little better than Britain, and the number of job vacancies has dropped by 22% compared with the same period of last year, while other comparable countries, including the United States, Germany, Ireland, Canada and Australia, have dropped by 5% to 15%.
Xinhua Commentary: China's monetary policy has changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to send a positive signal. The commentary published by Xinhua News Agency on the 10th pointed out that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference held on the 9th analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, in which the expression of monetary policy attracted people's attention. After a lapse of more than 10 years, the change of monetary policy orientation to "moderately loose" once again reflects the supportive monetary policy stance and sends a positive signal, which will strongly boost the confidence of all parties and help China's economy recover. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. This time, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party made it clear that the monetary policy will be "moderately loose" next year, not only because of the analysis and judgment of the current economic situation, but also because of the planning and consideration of the economic work next year. The timely adjustment of "loose is loose, tight is tight" will create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and high-quality development next year. From "steady" to "moderately loose", the change is the tightness of monetary policy, which is directly related to the blood of funds in the real economy. "Moderately loose" monetary policy means a reasonable money supply, a low interest rate and a relatively loose monetary and credit environment, which is conducive to further increasing financial support for key areas and weak links, guiding more funds to invest in scientific and technological innovation, people's livelihood consumption and other fields, promoting consumption and expanding investment, and better stimulating the endogenous motivation and innovation vitality of the whole society. From "steady" to "moderately loose", what remains unchanged is the supportive monetary policy stance. Since the beginning of this year, monetary policy has increased countercyclical adjustment in a timely manner. Although the tone of this year's monetary policy is "stable", on the whole, the monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation, and the market generally feels that China's monetary policy is in a stable and slightly loose state. The "moderately loose" monetary policy orientation next year can better reflect the "supportive" monetary policy stance. The combination of the two will further maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, reduce the comprehensive financing cost of enterprises and residents, and provide financial support for the sustained economic recovery. At present, the expected change has become an important factor affecting the economic operation, and it is helpful to guide the expectation to make clear the monetary policy orientation next year in time. Externally, the international environment will become more complicated and severe next year; Internally, China's development faces many uncertainties and challenges. At this point, clarifying the monetary policy for next year, responding to market concerns, and releasing a clear signal will help promote China's sustained economic recovery. (Xinhua News Agency)CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.The initial strength of inter-bank spot bonds was obvious. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds dropped by 3.5bp. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds fell by 3.5bp, the yield of 7-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 18" reported 1.725%, and the yield of 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" hit 1.87%, all hitting record lows. The yield of 30-year "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" dropped by 3.1bp to 2.079%, the lowest since the end of February 2005.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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